The Great Options Expiry Manipulation?

By | July 4, 2025 6:29 pm

SEBI Drops a Bombshell on Jane Street Group

“You don’t move the index. You ride it.”
– That’s what most traders believe… until SEBI uncovered something that stunned the entire Indian trading community.


What Just Happened?

 SEBI released a 105-page interim order against Jane Street Group, one of the world’s most sophisticated and secretive trading firms. The allegation?

Manipulating the Bank Nifty index on weekly expiry days using a coordinated, high-frequency, high-capital strategy to rake in thousands of crores in options profits.

This is not a routine compliance issue. This is a high-stakes game of market chess, and SEBI just called checkmate.

Who is Jane Street Group?

Jane Street isn’t just another hedge fund. They are:

Feature Detail
Founded 2000
Headquarters New York
Offices Hong Kong, London, Singapore
Employees 2,600+
Global Presence 45 countries
Market Role Liquidity provider in ETFs, options, bonds
Speciality Quant-driven, high-frequency, proprietary trading

In short, they are the big boys. They operate in milliseconds. Their algorithms are designed to scalp pennies but at enormous scale.

In India, their exposure came via:

  • JSI Investment Private Ltd

  • Jane Street Singapore Pte Ltd

  • Jane Street Asia Trading Ltd


What Did SEBI Uncover?

⚙️ Strategy 1: Intra-Day Index Manipulation

Make the index dance. Profit from the rhythm.

SEBI found that Jane Street allegedly executed a repeating expiry-day strategy:

  1. Morning: Pump the Index

    • Buy huge volumes of Bank Nifty constituent stocks in the cash and futures markets.

    • Result: Bank Nifty index artificially rises.

  2. Simultaneous: Load up on short Bank Nifty options

    • Particularly deep OTM options that would gain massively if the index fell.

  3. Afternoon: Dump everything

    • Aggressively sell off the same stocks to push the index down.

    • Index declines → short options turn profitable.

Jane Street’s Strategies, as per SEBI’s order: 

1. Intraday Index Manipulation:

  • Pump Nifty/BANKNIFTY with aggressive buying in cash/futures 
  • Build massive opposing (bearish) index options positions (Sell Calls & Buy Puts) 
  • Dump stocks 
  • Index tanks 
  • Profit from the short.

Example – 17 Jan 2024:

  • ₹4,370 crore worth of BANKNIFTY stocks bought early morning

  • ₹734 crore profit booked by close from options alone

  • Index was made to spike and fall unnaturally – classic pump and dump behavior, but at index scale.


Strategy 2: Marking the Close

SEBI flagged that on many expiry days, Jane Street placed strategically timed trades in the last 30 minutes to:

  • Influence the closing value of Bank Nifty

  • Force it toward a level that would make their option positions expire profitably

  • This involved high-volume orders at precise moments (e.g. 3:15 PM–3:30 PM)

This is called Marking the Close – illegal if done with intent to manipulate.

  • On expiry, Buy and hold Options till late afternoon
  • Abruptly ramp underlying stocks in the last hour
  • Nudge index towards max pain or ITM/OTM strikes
  • Maximize payoff on large expiry-bound option positions.

Why It Worked

Metric Value
Options Turnover (Bank Nifty) 353× Cash Market
Leverage in Options 10x to 30x
Impact of Minor Index Moves Massive P&L shifts on expiry
Retail Participation High (75% of volumes)

Jane Street allegedly used their scale in the less liquid cash and futures markets to move the highly leveraged options market – a clever, but possibly illegal arbitrage.


Profit Breakdown (SEBI Data)

Segment Net P&L (₹ Cr)
Bank Nifty Options +43,289
Index Futures -3,169
Stock Futures -1,498
Cash Market -2,541
Net Result ₹36,081 Cr Net Profit

Observation:
They consistently lost money in the cash and futures markets. But these losses were tools to manipulate the options market, where they printed enormous profits.


Expiry Day Pattern

SEBI focused on weekly expiry Wednesdays/Thursdays. Out of 85 expiry days reviewed:

  • On 62 days, Jane Street executed this pattern

  • P&L spikes were suspiciously aligned with expiry

  • Same stocks bought/sold repeatedly: HDFCBANK, ICICIBANK, AXISBANK, SBIN, KOTAKBANK

Chart Example: Bank Nifty Movement vs Jane Street Trading Hours


⚖️ SEBI’s Interim Action

Restrictions Imposed:

  • Jane Street barred from taking new derivative positions

  • Must liquidate existing positions in an orderly manner

  • Asked to show cause why permanent action should not be taken

SEBI stated:

“The behavior shows intent to manipulate the benchmark index using coordinated large trades in illiquid instruments to profit in the options segment.”


Why Should Indian Traders Care?

This is a wake-up call for every options trader, algo developer, and intraday player:

What This Case Proves:

  • Indexes can be manipulated – even Nifty and Bank Nifty!

  • Expiry day price action can be driven by smart money games

  • Retail traders are often the unintended victims

  • High-frequency trading isn’t always about liquidity – it can distort price discovery


Lessons for Retail and Institutional Traders

Lesson Why It Matters
Don’t chase expiry candles blindly They could be artificial moves
Watch for volume–price divergence May signal manipulation
Learn from regulatory orders They show real tactics by big players
Avoid high-risk expiry gambling You’re up against smarter, faster, richer opponents

Final Thoughts

Jane Street is not a small fish – it’s a whale with a track record of intelligent market operations. SEBI’s crackdown shows that no player is above scrutiny, no matter how global, how fast, or how subtle.

This case is not just about one firm. It’s a lesson on how expiry games are played, how retail capital gets exploited, and how important SEBI’s surveillance role is in keeping markets fair.


What Happens Next?

  • SEBI will conduct hearings with Jane Street

  • A final order could involve fines, trading bans, or even criminal charges if manipulation is proven

  • Meanwhile, traders can expect increased SEBI surveillance on expiry days, algo orders, and index-moving trades


✅ Your Next Step as a Trader

If you want to stay ahead of such manipulations:

Study expiry data with volume overlays
Track FII/DII large trades near expiry
Use options flow + cash market divergence signals
Most importantly, don’t blindly follow expiry moves

Category: Trading Education

About Bramesh

Bramesh Bhandari has been actively trading the Indian Stock Markets since over 15+ Years. His primary strategies are his interpretations and applications of Gann And Astro Methodologies developed over the past decade.

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