Nifty 11 May Weekly Expiry Analysis

By | May 10, 2023 10:40 pm

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) displayed a Bullish approach in the Nifty Index Futures market by Buying 3622 contracts worth 331  crores, resulting in a decrease of 4913 contracts in the Net Open Interest. FIIs bought 4377 long contracts and added 866 short contracts, indicating a preference for Buying/SHorting positions .With a Net FII Long Short ratio of 0.95 , FIIs utilized the market rise to enter long positions and enter short positions in Index Futures.

As discussed in Last Analysis 

US CPI data will come today evening Hedge your overnight positions, As per Neural we might see a gap down open.

Nifty again got rejected from 18300 level as we have multiple Astro date yesterday so high and low will be very important. trade plan we have discuused as below.

We got a dip today in Nifty which was again bought into, 18200 is very important level now. When trend is strong first 2 dips are bought into but the third dip genreally break the support and lead to bigger fall for trend change as per Gann Studies. For any bearish trend Nifty need to move below 18194 which is Gann Monthly Trend Change Level. Nifty has formed Long Legged Doji similar to 05-Dec.





As per Multiple Astro Date Yesterday below is the Plan based on Intraday Ratio Indicator 

Bulls need to move above 18353 for a move towards 18400/18463/18518. Bears will get active below 18219 for a move towards 18172/18109/18054/18010.



Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 9:15,10:18,11:10,11:56,2:08 How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times

Nifty May Futures Open Interest Volume stood at 1.13 lakh, witnessing a liquidation of 1.2 lakh contracts. Additionally, the increase in Cost of Carry implies that there was a closure of Long positions today.

Nifty Advance Decline Ratio at 36:14  and Nifty Rollover Cost is @17885 and Rollover is at 58.7 %. Nifty VOlume were lowest in the Series.

Nifty options chain shows that the maximum pain point is at 18250 and the put-call ratio (PCR) is at 0.97 . Typically, when the PCR open interest ranges between 0.90 and 1.05, the market tends to remain range-bound.

According To Todays Data, Retailers Have sold 109 K Call Option Contracts And 97 K Call Option Contracts Were Shorted by them. Additionally, They bought 640 K Put Option Contracts And 538 K Put Shorted Option Contracts were added by them, Indicating A BULLISH  Outlook.

In Contrast, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold 9.5 K Call Option Contracts And 65 K Shorted Call Option Contracts Were covered by them. On The Put Side, FIIs sold 65 K Put Option Contracts And 96.5 K Put Option Contracts were Shorted by them, Suggesting They Have Turned To A NEUTRAL Bias.

Nifty 50 Options Chain Analysis

The Nifty 50 options chain indicates that the highest open interest (OI) on the call side is at the 18300 strike, followed by 18400 strikes. On the put side, the highest OI is at the 18100 strike, followed by 18000  strikes. This suggests that the market participants are expecting Nifty 50 to remain range between 18200-18400 levels.

In the cash segment, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) bought 1833 crores, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) sold 789 crores.

Traders who follow the musical octave trading path may find valuable insights in predicting Nifty’s movements. According to this path, Nifty may follow a path of 17744-18272-18800 This means that traders can take a position and potentially ride the move as Nifty moves through these levels.Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that trading is inherently risky and market movements can be unpredictable.  Price has come near 18272


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For Positional Traders, The Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 18173. Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 18334, Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.

Intraday Trading Levels

Buy Above 18330 Tgt 18357, 18399 and 18440 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell Below 18300 Tgt 18270, 18242  and 18200 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Upper End of Expiry : 18440

Lower End of Expiry : 18189

Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.

Category: Nifty Weekly Expiry

About Bramesh

Bramesh Bhandari has been actively trading the Indian Stock Markets since over 15+ Years. His primary strategies are his interpretations and applications of Gann And Astro Methodologies developed over the past decade.

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