Union Budget 2025: Market Expectations & Nifty Insights
Date: February 1, 2025
️ Presented by: Honorable Finance Minister Shri Nirmala Sitharaman Ji
Market Sentiment Ahead of the Budget
- Despite a 4-day rally in Nifty, the overall market mood remains weak.
- Low expectations heading into the Budget, with no major leaks to the media, keeping uncertainty high.
Historical Insights: How Nifty Reacts to the Budget
- The Union Budget is one of the biggest market-moving events, influencing Nifty and broader indices.
- Analyzing past 30 Budgets provides valuable patterns for traders to anticipate volatility and trend shifts.
Nifty Budget Day Volatility (1999-2024)
- Maximum intraday range recorded: 674 points
- Expect a big volatile move this year as well, making risk management critical.
Trading Strategy for Budget Day
Trade cautiously & use strict stop-losses
Prepare for sharp swings in both directions
Focus on key support & resistance levels
The Union Budget 2025 could bring unpredictable market moves, so staying informed and adapting quickly is key. Stay tuned for further updates!
Out of 30 Budget Presented When Nifty started Trading we have 14 Budget where we had Positive Close and 16 Budgets we had negative close.
23-July-2024
01-Feb-2024 Intraday Chart
01-Feb-2023 Intraday Chart
01-Feb-2022 Intraday Chart
01-Feb-2021 Intraday Chart
How to Trade Safely on Budget Day: Key Insights & Strategies
Why Most Traders Lose Money on Budget Day
Many traders struggle on Budget Day due to a lack of technical and psychological preparedness for the wild market swings. If you’re trading with less than ₹5 lakhs in capital, it’s best to stay on the sidelines and observe rather than risk unnecessary losses. Capital protection should always be the #1 priority for traders.
We will be sharing key market levels on Twitter to help you navigate Budget Day profitably!
How the Budget Impacts Nifty: A 30-Year Analysis
A deep dive into the past 30 Union Budgets reveals a clear correlation between Nifty’s movement and economic policies:
- Pro-growth, market-friendly budgets → Typically lead to positive market reactions.
- High fiscal deficits or restrictive measures → Often result in market declines.
Understanding these historical patterns helps traders make better decisions before, during, and after the Budget announcement.
Conclusion: Stay Prepared, Stay Profitable
History shows that Nifty’s movement is closely tied to policies affecting banking, infrastructure, and economic growth.
- A supportive, growth-oriented budget could trigger a rally.
- A restrictive or high-deficit budget might weigh on market sentiment.
Smart traders analyze trends, manage risks, and trade with discipline. Stay tuned for live updates and key levels to help you trade profitably on Budget Day!
