Astro Events Align: Uranus Retrograde & Venus Declination Signal Big Move in Nifty !

By | January 31, 2025 9:14 am

FII Activity in Nifty Index Futures: A Bullish Sign or Data Distortion?

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) exhibited a bullish outlook in the Nifty Index Futures market, actively purchasing 10,753 contracts worth ₹2,515 crore. However, this activity resulted in a significant decrease of 1,83,021 contracts in net open interest.

Breaking Down FII Activity:

  • FIIs covered 27,933 long contracts.
  • FIIs added 1,01,936 short contracts, increasing their short exposure.
  • FII net exposure now stands at -1.7 lakh contracts, one of the highest ever recorded.

Lot Size Adjustment Impact:
With the Nifty Futures contract size revised from 25 to 75, the data appears skewed. A clearer picture will emerge from today’s EOD data.

  • FIIs started the February series with heavy short positions, reflecting a cautious or bearish outlook.
  • FII long exposure is just 11%, one of the lowest levels in recent times.
  • This suggests FIIs remain skeptical of any immediate recovery.

Client Behavior:

  • Clients covered 1,32,276 long contracts.
  • Clients also covered 51,714 short contracts.

Current Positioning in Index Futures:

  • FIIs: Holding 11% long and 89% short positions, maintaining a strong bearish bias despite recent long additions.
  • Clients: Holding 72% long and 28% short positions, reflecting a more optimistic outlook.

Analysis & Outlook:

If the Budget announcement brings no negative surprises, FIIs’ high short exposure could trigger a powerful short-covering rally. Traders should watch for key budget-driven catalysts that could influence market direction.

 

As Discussed in Last Analysis

Nifty experienced a decent upmove but failed to close above 22,976, as SENSEX expiry pressure at 2:45 PM, combined with our time cycle, triggered a 200-point decline within 15 minutes.

Today, with the New Moon and Uranus Declination, Reliance and IT stocks should be on the radar.

Key Levels to Watch:

  • Bullish Scenario: Nifty needs to close above 23,150 to confirm a short-term bottom, potentially triggering rapid short covering toward 23,343–23,400.
  • Bearish Scenario: A break below 22,850 could lead to a decline toward 22,751/22,666.

Nifty Feb Series 2025 Analysis: Key Insights from Historical Data

We successfully captured the bottom based on Mercury Ingress and rode the move higher. Now, we have two significant astro events on the horizon:

1️⃣ Uranus Turning Retrograde
2️⃣ Venus Declination

As discussed in the video below, these events could trigger another big move in the market. Stay prepared for potential volatility and key trend shifts!

Watch the video for detailed insights:

 

Nifty Trade Plan for Positional Trade ,Bulls will get active above 23323 for a move towards 23385/23444/23512 . Bears will get active below 23166 for a move towards 23088/23000

Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 09:17,11:25,12:22,01:57,02:27 How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times

Nifty Feb Futures Open Interest Volume stood at 1.73 lakh cr , witnessing liquidation of 28 Lakh  contracts. Additionally, the increase in Cost of Carry implies that there was addiiton of SHORT positions today.

Nifty Jan-Feb rollovers stand at 80%, higher than the 75% average, indicating strong positional carryforward.

Nifty Advance Decline Ratio at 35:15 and Nifty Rollover Cost is @23208 closed above it.

Nifty Gann Monthly  Trade level :23721 closed below it.

Nifty has closed below its 20 SMA @ 23299 Trend has changed to Buy on Dips once above 22976

Nifty options chain shows that the maximum pain point is at 23000 and the put-call ratio (PCR) is at 76 .Typically, when the PCR open interest ranges between 0.90 and 1.05, the market tends to remain range-bound.

Nifty 50 Options Chain Analysis

The Nifty 50 options chain indicates that the highest open interest (OI) on the call side is at the 23300 strike, followed by 23500  strikes. On the put side, the highest OI is at the 23000 strike, followed by 22700 strikes. This suggests that the market participants are expecting Nifty 50 to remain range between 23000-23500 levels.

Retail Activity in Options Market

According to today’s data:

  • Retail investors sold 99.6 K Call Option contracts and shorted 256 K Call Option contracts.
  • They also bought 108 K Put Option contracts and covered 904 K Put Option contracts, indicating a bearish bias in the market.

FII Activity in Options Market

  • Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) added 10.4 K Call Option contracts and covered 205 K Call Option contracts.
  • On the Put side, FIIs added 278 K Put Option contracts and shorted 356 K Put Option contracts, suggesting a shift toward a Neutral to Bullish bias.

In the cash segment, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) sold 4582 crores, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) bought 2165 crores.

Traders who follow the musical octave trading path may find valuable insights in predicting Nifty’s movements. According to this path, Nifty may follow a path of 22751-23408-24105-24801 This means that traders can take a position and potentially ride the move as Nifty moves through these levels.Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that trading is inherently risky and market movements can be unpredictable.

Many people have a need to be right. That makes it difficult to quickly accept losses, and it makes it especially difficult to flip one’s views. The best traders don’t have a need to be right, and in fact they readily admit that there’s many times they’re wrong.

For Positional Traders, The Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 23386. Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 23886, Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.

Nifty Intraday Trading Levels

Buy Above 23275 Tgt 23300, 23334 and 23385 ( Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell Below 23225 Tgt 23198, 23144 and 23108 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.

As always, it’s essential to closely monitor market movements and make informed decisions based on a well-thought-out trading plan and risk management strategy. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s crucial to be adaptable and cautious in your approach.

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Category: Daily

About Bramesh

Bramesh Bhandari has been actively trading the Indian Stock Markets since over 15+ Years. His primary strategies are his interpretations and applications of Gann And Astro Methodologies developed over the past decade.

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