Nifty 25 May Monthly Expiry Analysis

By | May 24, 2023 10:36 pm

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) displayed a Bearish approach in the Nifty Index Futures market by SELLING 2571 contracts worth 239 crores, resulting in a increase of 2699 contracts in the Net Open Interest. FIIs bought 259 long contracts and added 4623 short contracts, indicating a preference for adding new SHORTING positions .With a Net FII Long Short ratio of 0.96, FIIs utilized the market fall to enter Long positions and enter short positions in NIFTY Futures.

 

As Discussed in Last Analysis  Nifty has formed DOJI /NR7 Pattern on Daily time frame and Jupiter 18 Uranus Aspect is also forming today so we can see good voltality in the Nifty, JUpiter and Uranus both are Outer Plannet which bring trend change and Uranus has Impact on IT stocks.

We have discussed the importance of Jupiter 18 Uranus and Mars Square Jupiter Aspect in below video, we can see a trending move tommrow.

 

 

 

For Swing Traders  Bulls need to move above 18420 for a move towards 18467/18515/18563/18610. Bears will get active below 18324 for a move towards 18276/18228/18180. — Waiting for 18228/18180/18133

Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 9:15,10:27,12:08,1:16,2:20  How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times

Nifty June Futures Open Interest Volume stood at 0.67 lakh, witnessing a addition of 21.9 lakh contracts. Additionally, the increase in Cost of Carry implies that there was a addition of SHORT positions today.

Nifty Advance Decline Ratio at 28:22  and Nifty Rollover Cost is @17885 and Rollover is at 58.7 %.

Nifty options chain shows that the maximum pain point is at 18300 and the put-call ratio (PCR) is at 1. Typically, when the PCR open interest ranges between 0.90 and 1.05, the market tends to remain range-bound.

According To Todays Data, Retailers Have bought 115 K Call Option Contracts And 90  K Call Option Contracts Were Shorted by them. Additionally, They bought 3.6 K Put Option Contracts And 129 K Put Option Contracts were Shorted by them, Indicating A BULLISH Outlook.

In Contrast, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) bought 98.4 K Call Option Contracts And 133 K Call Option Contracts Were Shorted by them. On The Put Side, FIIs bought 22 K Put Option Contracts And 9.4 K Shorted Put Option Contracts were covered by them, Suggesting They Have Turned To A BEARISH Bias.

Nifty 50 Options Chain Analysis

The Nifty 50 options chain indicates that the highest open interest (OI) on the call side is at the 18300 strike, followed by 18400 strikes. On the put side, the highest OI is at the 18200 strike, followed by 18100  strikes. This suggests that the market participants are expecting Nifty 50 to remain range between 18200-18400 levels.

In the cash segment, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) bought 1185 crores, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) bought 300 crores.

Traders who follow the musical octave trading path may find valuable insights in predicting Nifty’s movements. According to this path, Nifty may follow a path of 17744-18272-18800 This means that traders can take a position and potentially ride the move as Nifty moves through these levels.Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that trading is inherently risky and market movements can be unpredictable.  Price has close above 18272

 

One of the main reason why technical analysis works is that human nature and emotions remain the same irrespective of era one is in. People were greedy and fearful even a hundred years back as much as they are now.

For Positional Traders, The Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 18253 . Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 18329 , Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.

Intraday Trading Levels

Buy Above 18300 Tgt 18323, 18350 and 18385 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell Below 18250 Tgt 18225, 18200 and 18161 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Upper End of Expiry : 18338

Lower End of Expiry : 18161

Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.

Category: NIfty Monthly Expiry Nifty50

About Bramesh

Bramesh Bhandari has been actively trading the Indian Stock Markets since over 15+ Years. His primary strategies are his interpretations and applications of Gann And Astro Methodologies developed over the past decade.

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