Nifty Forms Doji Ahead of Key Inflation Data & Astro Cycle Confluence

By | June 12, 2025 9:14 am

FII & Client Activity – Nifty Index Futures (11 June 2025)

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs)

FIIs maintained a bullish stance, actively building long positions and unwinding shorts — indicating growing confidence amid key macro data releases.

  • Contracts Bought (Long Added): 3,531

  • Shorts Covered: 2,944

  • Total Value: ₹958 crore

  • Net Open Interest Change: +2,960 contracts

Interpretation:
A clear shift in sentiment as FIIs increased their net longs while covering significant shorts. This indicates anticipation of positive near-term triggers, likely in response to global cues and upcoming inflation data from the US and India.


Client Behavior

  • Longs Covered: 2,322

  • Shorts Added: 5,441

Interpretation:
Clients are turning more cautious, unwinding long exposure and building fresh shorts. This divergence from FII behavior reflects either hedging ahead of key events or expectation of short-term resistance.


Current Positioning Snapshot

Category Long % Short % Long:Short Ratio
FIIs 22% 78% 0.28
Clients 60% 40% 1.47

Summary Takeaway:

    • FIIs: Reducing bearish bets and accumulating longs → Positive undertone

    • Clients: Reducing bullish exposure, raising shorts → Hedged or cautious approach

    • Market Outlook: With dual inflation data (US & India) incoming, the shift in FII behavior may suggest pre-positioning for an upside surprise or breakout.

Master Losses: Your Trading War Journal for Unbreakable Discipline

You can read the Previous Day Analysis by clicking on this link.

Nifty ended the day forming a Doji candle, signaling indecision in the market as traders brace for critical inflation data from both the US and India. The index continues to hover near recent highs, showing resilience but caution amid upcoming macroeconomic and astro triggers.


Key Technical Observation

  • Nifty formed a Doji, indicating a pause or potential reversal — often seen before significant events.

  • Price held above the 25,000 mark, a psychological and technical level, which now acts as a bullish pivot.


Astro + Gann Confluence in Play

As discussed in the video update, we’re entering a multi-layered astro cycle window:

  • Mercury Ingress

  • Jupiter Ingress

  • Lunar Phase Activation

Historically, such a combination often precedes sharp trend-defining moves, especially when markets are in tight ranges, as they are now.


What’s Next?

  • Inflation data (US & India) will act as a catalyst to break the consolidation.

  • Break above 25,200 could trigger a fresh rally.

  • Break below 25000 may invite short-term profit booking.


Strategy Ahead

  • Till 25,000 is held, bulls retain the upper hand.

  • Use dips to build long exposure with tight stop-losses.

  • Watch for volatility spikes post-data — position sizing and hedging will be key.

Nifty Trade Plan for Positional Trade ,Bulls will get active above 25120 for a move towards 25277/25433. Bears will get active below 24964 for a move towards 24807/24651

Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 09:30,11:45,1:00,02:00,02:45 How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times

Nifty May Futures Open Interest Volume stood at 1.14 lakh cr , witnessing liquidation of 0.84 Lakh  contracts. Additionally, the increase in Cost of Carry implies that there was covering of SHORT positions today.

Nifty Advance Decline Ratio at 28:22 and Nifty Rollover Cost is @24321 closed above it.

Nifty Gann Monthly Buy Level : 24822 — Closed above it

Nifty Gann Monthly Buy Level : 24669

Nifty has closed above its 20 SMA @ 24856 Trend is Buy on Dips till above 25000.


 

Nifty options chain shows that the maximum pain point is at 25100 and the put-call ratio (PCR) is at 0.86.Typically, when the PCR open interest ranges between 0.90 and 1.05, the market tends to remain range-bound.

Nifty 50 Options Chain Analysis

The Nifty 50 options chain indicates that the highest open interest (OI) on the call side is at the 25200 strike, followed by 25300 strikes. On the put side, the highest OI is at the 25000 strike, followed by 24900 strikes. This suggests that the market participants are expecting Nifty 50 to remain range between 25000-25300 levels.

Options Market Activity – 11 June 2025

Retail Activity in Options Market

Call Options:

  • Added: 55,000 contracts

  • Shorted: 273,000 contracts

Put Options:

  • Added: 81,000 contracts

  • Shorted: 269,000 contracts

➡️ Interpretation:
Retail participants are displaying a cautious or slightly bearish outlook, especially visible through the aggressive shorting of both calls and puts, which typically signals a view of rangebound movement or a volatility crush play ahead of key data.


FII Activity in Options Market

Call Options:

  • Added: 125,000 contracts

  • Covered: 33,800 contracts

Put Options:

  • Covered: 106,000 contracts

  • Covered: 36,900 contracts

➡️ Interpretation:
FIIs are reducing downside hedges and unwinding both call and put shorts — signaling a neutral to mildly bullish positioning, possibly ahead of key triggers like US CPI data and India’s inflation print.


Summary View:

  • Retail: High volume in short positions across both legs → Suggests expectation of low volatility or consolidation.

  • FII: Net reduction in options exposure, especially on the put side → Indicates improving risk appetite or confidence in market stability short-term.

In the cash segment, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) sold 446 cr , while Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) bought 1584  cr.

Traders who follow the musical octave trading path may find valuable insights in predicting Nifty’s movements. According to this path, Nifty may follow a path of 23037-23722-24408-25134-25860 This means that traders can take a position and potentially ride the move as Nifty moves through these levels.Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that trading is inherently risky and market movements can be unpredictable. 

 Those who succeed big at anything all have the same attitude: You keep going until it happens or you die trying. Quitting is not an option.

For Positional Traders, The Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 24946. Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 25233 , Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.

Nifty Expiry Range

Upper End of Expiry : 25340

Lower End of Expiry : 24980 

Nifty Intraday Trading Levels

Buy Above 25166 Tgt 25199, 25235 and 25285 ( Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell Below 25108 Tgt 25075, 25030 and 24980 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.

As always, it’s essential to closely monitor market movements and make informed decisions based on a well-thought-out trading plan and risk management strategy. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s crucial to be adaptable and cautious in your approach.

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Category: Daily

About Bramesh

Bramesh Bhandari has been actively trading the Indian Stock Markets since over 15+ Years. His primary strategies are his interpretations and applications of Gann And Astro Methodologies developed over the past decade.

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