Bank Nifty 14 Dec 2023 Trade Plan

By | December 14, 2023 8:35 am

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) exhibited a Bearish stance in the Bank Nifty Index Futures market by Shorting 10277 contracts with a total value of 729 crores. This activity led to a increase of 8113 contracts in the Net Open Interest.

As Discussed in Last Analysis

Bank Nifty saw its first lower low after the rally that started on 22 Nov. Today was the Gann Emblem date and  Bank Nifty broke the  NR7 pattern low , tomorrow we have a NEW MOON. According to “Bayer Rule 2: Trend goes down within 3 days when the speed difference between Mars and Mercury is 59 minutes. Leads to a Big Move,” so again, the first 15 minutes’ High and Low will guide intraday traders. Price has broken 47154 can lead to fall towards 46740 as per gann price time squaring.

Bank Nifty Bears were able to brerak 47154 went down till 46888, but failed to do our target of 46740. We will open gap up today with US FED Singalling Rate Cut in Feb 2024. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries fall below 4% for the first time since August. Bulls need to sustain above 47450 for a move towards 47610/47729. Today Moon is going to extreme declination so first 15 mins will guide intraday traders.

 

 

Bank Nifty Trade Plan for Positional Trade ,Bulls will get active above 47390 for a move towards 47585/47801/48000. Bears will get active below 47154 for a move towards 46938/46722/46507. — 46938 done with today gap up open short will get stopped out. Bulls need to watch for 47390.

Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 9:21,11:57,1:50,2:27   How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times

Bank Nifty Dec Futures Open Interest Volume stood at 19.1 lakh, liquidation of 87015 lakh contracts. Additionally, the decrease in Cost of Carry implies that there was a liquidation of SHORT positions today.

Bank Nifty Advance Decline Ratio at 09:03 and Bank  Nifty Rollover Cost is @44692 closed above it. 

Bank Nifty Gann Monthly Trend Change Level : 45919

Bank Nifty  has closed above its 20/50/100/200 DMA, TIll 46656   is held bulls have upper hand and trend is Buy on Dips.

 

 

 

Traders who follow the musical octave trading path may find valuable insights in predicting Bank Nifty’s movements. According to this path, Bank Nifty may follow a path of 45937-47265-48671 . This means that traders can take a position and potentially ride the move as Bank Nifty moves through these levels. Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that trading is inherently risky and market movements can be unpredictable. 

According to the Bank Nifty options chain, the call side has the highest open interest (OI) at the 47300  strike, followed by the 47500 strike. On the put side, the 47000 strike has the highest OI, followed by the 46800  strike.This indicates that market participants anticipate Bank Nifty to stay within the 47000-47500 range. 

The Bank Nifty options chain shows that the maximum pain point is at 47100 and the put-call ratio (PCR) is at 0.85 . Typically, when the PCR open interest ranges between 0.90 and 1.05, the market tends to remain range-bound. PCR is on extreme end suggesting we can see sharp reversal .

My advice to any new traders is to seek a mentor who will offer you trading skills that will allow you to adapt to any market. What works one month may not work the next. But with fully developed trading skills, you can make the necessary adjustments.

For Positional Traders, The Bank Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 46617 . Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 47092 , Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.

Bank Nifty Intraday Trading Levels

Buy Above 47235 Tgt 47375, 47555 and 47729 ( Bank Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell Below 47000 Tgt 46888, 46729 and 46555 ( Bank Nifty Spot Levels)

Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.

As always, it’s essential to closely monitor market movements and make informed decisions based on a well-thought-out trading plan and risk management strategy. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s crucial to be adaptable and cautious in your approach.

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