The monthly expiry day is one of the most volatile trading sessions in the Indian stock market. With option contracts expiring, traders witness significant price movements, making it a crucial day for strategy execution. In this article, we will analyze the probable range for Nifty, Bank Nifty, Fin Nifty, and Midcap Nifty for the October 2025 Monthly Expiry and discuss how traders can position themselves effectively.
Predicted Range for Nifty, Bank Nifty, Fin Nifty & Midcap Nifty
Nifty 50 Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Nifty:
Buy Above 26008 Tgt 26044, 26088 and 26130 ( Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 25950 Tgt 25910, 25866 and 25816 (Nifty Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Nifty:
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Upper End of Expiry: 26161
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Lower End of Expiry: 25838
- Strategy:
- Strangle for range-bound movement
- Bull Call Spread for an upside breakout
Bank Nifty Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Bank Nifty:
Buy Above 58200 Tgt 58321, 58441 and 58560( Bank Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 58081 Tgt 57961, 57841 and 57721 (Bank Nifty Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Bank Nifty:
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Upper End of Expiry: 58560
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Lower End of Expiry: 57839
- Strategy:
- Iron Condor for a defined range
- Straddle for sharp moves due to FII activity
Fin Nifty Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Finance Nifty:
Buy Above 27550 Tgt 27575, 27610 and 27666 ( Fin Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 27525 Tgt 27500, 27474 and 27440 (Fin Nifty Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Finance Nifty:
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Upper End of Expiry: 27710
-
Lower End of Expiry: 27369
- Strategy:
- Debit Spread for directional bias
- Short Strangle for theta decay benefits
Midcap Nifty Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Mid Cap Nifty:
Buy Above 13345 Tgt 13370, 13401 and 13444 ( Midcap Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 13300 Tgt 13256, 13212 and 13166 (Midcap Nifty Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Mid Cap Nifty:
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Upper End of Expiry: 13432
-
Lower End of Expiry: 13267
- Strategy:
- Butterfly Spread for controlled risk
- Ratio Spread for trending moves
Nifty Next 50 Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Nifty Next 50:
Buy Above 69672 Tgt 69803, 69935 and 70066 ( Nifty Next 50 Spot Levels)
Sell Below 69541 Tgt 69409, 69278 and 69146 (Nifty Next 50 Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Nifty Next 50:
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Upper End of Expiry: 70048
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Lower End of Expiry: 69185
Best Trading Strategies for Expiry Day
1. Option Selling for Theta Decay
- Selling out-of-the-money (OTM) strangles or straddles in the morning session.
- Exiting positions by 2 PM to avoid sharp swings.
2. Directional Trades Post 1 PM
- Wait for institutional moves and breakouts in major indices.
- Use Volume & VWAP Analysis to confirm trends.
3. Scalping in the Last Hour (3 PM Move)
- Expiry days witness sudden momentum in the last 30 minutes.
- Scalpers can use quick 5-minute chart breakouts to capture short moves.
4. Max Pain-Based Strategies
- Monitor max pain levels for Nifty and Bank Nifty.
- Sell iron condors or credit spreads around those levels.
These levels are derived from current market data and are subject to change with market dynamics. Traders should monitor these levels closely and employ appropriate risk management strategies during trading.
Note: Market conditions can change rapidly. It’s advisable to stay updated with live market data and consult with financial advisors before making trading decisions.
