The monthly expiry day is one of the most volatile trading sessions in the Indian stock market. With option contracts expiring, traders witness significant price movements, making it a crucial day for strategy execution. In this article, we will analyze the probable range for Nifty, Bank Nifty, Fin Nifty, and Midcap Nifty for the September 2025 Monthly Expiry and discuss how traders can position themselves effectively.
Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 10:57,12:28,01:36,02:11 How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times
Predicted Range for Nifty, Bank Nifty, Fin Nifty & Midcap Nifty
midBased on the latest data as of May 28, 2025, here are the updated intraday and expiry levels :
Nifty 50 Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Nifty:
Buy Above 24650 Tgt 24688, 24729 and 24780 ( Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 24610 Tgt 24575, 24529 and 24488 (Nifty Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Nifty:
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Upper End of Expiry: 24780
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Lower End of Expiry: 24488
- Strategy:
- Strangle for range-bound movement
- Bull Call Spread for an upside breakout
Bank Nifty Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Bank Nifty:
Buy Above 54500 Tgt 54610, 54729 and 54900 ( Bank Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 54400 Tgt 54275, 54137 and 54900 (Bank Nifty Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Bank Nifty:
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Upper End of Expiry: 54785
-
Lower End of Expiry: 54137
- Strategy:
- Iron Condor for a defined range
- Straddle for sharp moves due to FII activity
Fin Nifty Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Finance Nifty:
Buy Above 26008 Tgt 26050, 26088 and 26125 ( Fin Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 25970 Tgt 25945, 25915 and 25873 (Fin Nifty Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Finance Nifty:
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Upper End of Expiry: 26183
-
Lower End of Expiry: 25873
- Strategy:
- Debit Spread for directional bias
- Short Strangle for theta decay benefits
Midcap Nifty Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Mid Cap Nifty:
Buy Above 12610 Tgt 12630, 12666 and 12700 ( Midcap Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 12591 Tgt 12555, 12512 and 12478 (Midcap Nifty Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Mid Cap Nifty:
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Upper End of Expiry: 12685
-
Lower End of Expiry: 12535
- Strategy:
- Butterfly Spread for controlled risk
- Ratio Spread for trending moves
Nifty Next 50 Expiry Analysis
Intraday Levels for Nifty Next 50:
Buy Above 67900 Tgt 68036, 68167 and 68300 ( Nifty Next 50 Spot Levels)
Sell Below 67775 Tgt 67644, 67513 and 67383 (Nifty Next 50 Spot Levels)
Expiry Levels for Nifty Next 50:
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Upper End of Expiry: 68238
-
Lower End of Expiry: 67432
Best Trading Strategies for Expiry Day
1. Option Selling for Theta Decay
- Selling out-of-the-money (OTM) strangles or straddles in the morning session.
- Exiting positions by 2 PM to avoid sharp swings.
2. Directional Trades Post 1 PM
- Wait for institutional moves and breakouts in major indices.
- Use Volume & VWAP Analysis to confirm trends.
3. Scalping in the Last Hour (3 PM Move)
- Expiry days witness sudden momentum in the last 30 minutes.
- Scalpers can use quick 5-minute chart breakouts to capture short moves.
4. Max Pain-Based Strategies
- Monitor max pain levels for Nifty and Bank Nifty.
- Sell iron condors or credit spreads around those levels.
These levels are derived from current market data and are subject to change with market dynamics. Traders should monitor these levels closely and employ appropriate risk management strategies during trading.
Note: Market conditions can change rapidly. It’s advisable to stay updated with live market data and consult with financial advisors before making trading decisions.
