Swing Trading Nifty : August 11-14 Setup Guide

Nifty Weekly Forecast (August 11 – 14, 2025)

This week is poised to be a major bullish turning point for both Nifty and Bank Nifty. After a period of potential weakness leading into the week, the data points to a powerful and decisive trend reversal starting on Monday, August 11th. The combination of Mercury stationing direct and a highly optimistic Venus-Jupiter conjunction is expected to end the prior downtrend and ignite a strong, sustained rally. Bank Nifty, being highly sensitive to financial flows, is expected to be a key leader in this new uptrend.

Overall Weekly Outlook & Strategy

The core strategy for the week is to shift from a bearish/neutral stance to a bullish one. Monday is the designated pivot day for the trend change. Any residual weakness from the previous week should be viewed as a final opportunity to position for a significant move up. Tuesday is expected to confirm and accelerate this new rally. The primary trading plan is to buy the dips, particularly on Monday and Tuesday, in anticipation of a strong upward trend for the remainder of the week.

Day-by-Day Analysis for Nifty

Monday, August 11: The Great Reversal

Astrological Driver: The Mercury Station Direct (S/D) is the most important event of the week. This is explicitly confirmed by Bayer Rule 1: “The trend changes when Mercury changes its direction.”
Market Psychology: Mercury, the planet of trade and communication, going direct signals the end of confusion, delays, and market uncertainty. This acts as a powerful “green light” for capital to be deployed with confidence.
Nifty Forecast: The market is expected to form a major bottom today. It may open with some weakness or choppiness due to the bearish weekend energies (Full Moon, Mars-Neptune), but this should be short-lived. This initial weakness represents the final exhaustion of the downtrend. Expect a reversal during the session, with buyers stepping in aggressively.
- Action Plan: This is the day to close out shorts and look for long entry opportunities. Buying into the weakness of the first half of the session is the recommended strategy.

Tuesday, August 12: The Bullish Confirmation & Acceleration

Astrological Drivers: A powerful Venus Conjunct Jupiter (“Important”) is the primary engine for the day. This is slightly tempered by a brief, early session Moon Opposition Saturn (“Bearish”).
Market Psychology: This is a classic “dip and rip” setup. The Saturn aspect may induce a moment of doubt, fear, or a small dip at the open or in the first hour. This test will quickly be overwhelmed by the wave of powerful optimism and “risk-on” sentiment from the Venus-Jupiter conjunction—one of the most favorable aspects for financial assets.
Nifty Forecast: Expect a possible flat to weak opening. This dip is the key buying opportunity of the week. Once the Saturnine pressure fades, a strong and broad-based rally is expected to take hold.
- Action Plan: Buy the morning dip. Use any initial weakness to add to long positions initiated on Monday or to enter new ones.

Wednesday, August 13: The Bullish Continuation

Astrological Driver: No major aspects are listed for today, meaning the powerful momentum from the previous days is the dominant force.
Market Psychology: The new uptrend is now established and accepted by the market. The mood is confident and bullish.
Nifty Forecast: Expect a day of steady, continued gains. The rally may not be as explosive as Tuesday’s, but the trend remains firmly up. This is a day for trend-following, holding onto long positions, and allowing profits to run.

Thursday, August 14: The Volatility Spike

Astrological Driver: The Moon reaches Perigee, its closest point to Earth. This amplifies the prevailing market trend and increases volatility.
Market Psychology: With the established trend being bullish, the heightened lunar energy is likely to supercharge the buying pressure.
Nifty Forecast: Expect a sharp, high-volume move upwards. The Perigee influence can lead to a near-term “blow-off” top or an acceleration of the rally as the last remaining bears are forced to cover their positions. While the trend remains bullish, traders should be aware that such sharp accelerations can sometimes lead to short-term exhaustion.
- Action Plan: Hold long positions, but consider raising stop-losses to protect the significant gains accumulated throughout the week.