The May 2025 F&O series ended with a strong +587-point gain on the Nifty, marking the third consecutive winning series. As we step into the June series, traders must brace for a mix of technical confluence, astro cycles, and evolving macro triggers.
Although June is generally a low-volatility month with average moves of 2–3%, this year could be different due to a unique blend of astrological events, strong technical setups, and significant institutional positioning.
Recent Nifty Series Trends
| Series | Nifty Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21 | +453 pts | +3.0% |
| Jun 22 | -390 pts | -2.4% |
| Jun 23 | +651 pts | +3.6% |
| Jun 24 | +1556 pts | +6.9% |
✅ May 25: +587 pts
✅ Apr 25: +655 pts
✅ Mar 25: +1047 pts
❌ Feb 25: -705 pts
Three back-to-back gains confirm strong trend momentum.
Rollover & Open Interest Snapshot
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May to June Rollover: 79% (vs. 3-month avg. 79.6%)
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Nifty OI at Series Start:
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June: 1.26 Cr shares
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May: 1.15 Cr shares
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April: 1.24 Cr shares
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March: 1.68 Cr shares
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Open interest levels suggest participation is steady, with no excessive leverage at the start — a base for trending moves ahead.
FII Positioning – June Starts With 80% Shorts
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FII Long Exposure:
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June: 20%
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May: 41%
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April: 40%
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March: 16%
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Client Long Exposure: 61%
FIIs are entering the June series with a heavily short-biased book (80% short), while retail and domestic institutions remain bullish. Such divergence often leads to volatile moves as the tug-of-war intensifies.
Key Astro Cycles in Play – High Impact Potential
This June isn’t just about macro data — astro cycles and planetary alignments are also signaling a potential shift in momentum:
☀️ Sun Conjunct Mercury – Clarity, Momentum & Reversals
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This aspect often amplifies trend moves or reverses short-term directions.
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Happening early in June, it may coincide with RBI policy or tariff-related news for maximum impact.
♀ Venus Semi-Square ☿ Mercury – Emotional Triggers in Market Sentiment
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Known to cause irrational exuberance or panic, this minor yet powerful aspect tends to influence financial and banking stocks, especially around news or earnings reaction periods.
Key Fundamental & Technical Triggers for June Series
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RBI Policy Outcome – June 6
A rate hike or dovish commentary will have sector-wide impact, especially on Banks and NBFCs. -
Tariff Updates & Global Developments
US-China tensions, oil prices, and bond yields remain wildcard factors. -
Spread of Monsoon
Rural consumption, agri stocks, and FMCG will react to any delay or uneven distribution. -
F&O Expiry Setup
With Nifty stuck around the 24,700–25,000 resistance, breakout or breakdown in the first 3 trading sessions could define the series.
Technical Takeaway
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Nifty is showing strength with 3 consecutive series gains.
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FIIs are heavily short but cautious in increasing exposure.
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Gann & Astro setups suggest a potential breakout after time consolidation.
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With planetary aspects and New Moon energy active, the first week of June could be explosive.
Final Word for Traders
Stay light and nimble in the first 3 sessions, especially ahead of the June 6 RBI policy. Use astro confluences and Gann price levels as confirmation triggers. If Nifty sustains above 25,000, we could be looking at another high-beta rally.
Protect long trades with hedges and avoid complacency — June may be historically rangebound, but the astro and technical mix in 2025 could deliver a surprise punch.
Summary
Historically, June isn’t known for high volatility unless there’s a major event on the horizon. But with FIIs heavily short and key macro triggers lined up — especially the RBI Policy and monsoon data — we may not see a dull series after all.
Bulls will need strong global support and favorable policy cues to maintain upward momentum.
Bears, led by cautious FIIs, will be watching 24,700–25,000 levels closely for exhaustion.
Stay tuned, and trade with discipline.
For Positional Traders, The Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 24876 . Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 24637 , Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.
Nifty Intraday Trading Levels
Buy Above 24848 Tgt 24888, 24945 and 25008 ( Nifty Spot Levels)
Sell Below 24800 Tgt 24763, 24714 and 24666 (Nifty Spot Levels)
Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.
As always, it’s essential to closely monitor market movements and make informed decisions based on a well-thought-out trading plan and risk management strategy. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s crucial to be adaptable and cautious in your approach.
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