Mercury in Leo : Nifty 13 Aug 2024 Trade Plan

By | August 13, 2024 9:03 am

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) displayed a Bearish approach in the Nifty Index Futures market by Shorting 8429 contracts worth ₹514 crores, resulting in a decrease of 93 contracts in the net open interest. FIIs covered 5081 long contracts and added 2141 short contracts, indicating a preference for covering long positions and adding short positions. With a net FII long-short ratio of  1.3, FIIs utilized the market fall to exit long positions and add short positions in Nifty futures. Clients added 13900 long contracts and covered 3876 short contracts.

As Discuused in Last Analysis

Nifty has formed an Outside Bar candle on a day when both the Gann 45-day cycle and Bayer’s Rule are converging. Tomorrow, we are expected to open with a gap up, continuing the alternating pattern of gap ups and gap downs since Monday. Bulls need a close above 24,343 to push for an upmove towards 24,512. On the other hand, bears need a close below 24,285. With tomorrow being a weekly close, 24,302 would be an ideal level for the market to settle at.

Nifty is struggling to close above its last week’s high of 24382 and the Gann monthly trend change level of 24592 . Today, we have Mercury Ingress as retrograde Mercury moves into the Leo zodiac sign. Leo, being a fire sign, suggests that a trending move is possible within the next two days. Since Mercury is a short-term planet, it is likely to cause a short-term trend change. For intraday trades, keep an eye on the first 15 minutes’ high and low to capture the trend for the day.

 

Nifty Trade Plan for Positional Trade ,Bulls will get active above 24390 for a move towards 24467//24545/24622. Bears will get active below 24234 for a move towards 24157/24079/24000.

Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 09:15,12:36,01:25,02:44  How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times

Nifty Aug Futures Open Interest Volume stood at 1.17 lakh cr , witnessing a liquidation of 0.04  Lakh  contracts. Additionally, the increase in Cost of Carry implies that there was a closure of LONG positions today.

Nifty Advance Decline Ratio at 25:25 and Nifty Rollover Cost is @24503 closed below it.

Nifty Gann Monthly  Trade level :24592 close  below it.

Nifty closed below its 20SMA @24534 Trend is Sell on Rise.

Nifty options chain shows that the maximum pain point is at 24300 and the put-call ratio (PCR) is at 0.95 Typically, when the PCR open interest ranges between 0.90 and 1.05, the market tends to remain range-bound.

Nifty 50 Options Chain Analysis

The Nifty 50 options chain indicates that the highest open interest (OI) on the call side is at the 24300 strike, followed by 24400 strikes. On the put side, the highest OI is at the 24100 strike, followed by 24000 strikes. This suggests that the market participants are expecting Nifty 50 to remain range between 24000-24400 levels.

In the cash segment, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) sold  4680 crores, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) bought 4477 crores.

Traders who follow the musical octave trading path may find valuable insights in predicting Nifty’s movements. According to this path, Nifty may follow a path of 23889-24600-25310 This means that traders can take a position and potentially ride the move as Nifty moves through these levels.Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that trading is inherently risky and market movements can be unpredictable.

Your losing trades do not diminish you as a person. You are not your losing trades. You are also not your winning trades either. They are simply by-products of the business that you’re in.

For Positional Traders, The Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 24584 . Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 24399, Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.

Nifty Intraday Trading Levels

Buy Above 24356 Tgt 24400, 24444 and 24484 ( Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell Below 24313 Tgt 24285, 24225 and 24166 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.

As always, it’s essential to closely monitor market movements and make informed decisions based on a well-thought-out trading plan and risk management strategy. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s crucial to be adaptable and cautious in your approach.

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