2023 State Election Exit Poll Impact on Bank Nifty

By | December 1, 2023 6:46 am

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) exhibited a Bullish stance in the Bank Nifty Index Futures market by Buying 6050 contracts with a total value of 382 crores. This activity led to a decrease of 28073 contracts in the Net Open Interest.

As Discussed in Last Analysis

Bank Nifty gave a perfect upmove above Gann 1×2 Angle, and price has closed above its 200 DMA, Tommrow we will Monthly expiry and MSCI Rebalnacing so last 45 mins we will see big move. 

Bank Nifty reacted from Gann Annual TC level, 01 Dec Mercury is moving in Capricon, as Mercury is inner plannet it causes swift move, Bank Nifty will react to exit polls results which are giving a mixed picture real picture of election will come on 03 Dec results. 04 Dec Bank nifty will complete 90 days from the 21 Jul Swing High. 44700-44723 can be a tricky zone as its 62.5 % of 46310-42105 and 50% of 46310-43230.  Keep Eye on PSU Banks for next 2 trading session. In 2018 Bank Nifty saw a cut of 1% + on Exit Poll Results.



Bank Nifty Trade Plan for Positional Trade ,Bulls will get active above 44632 for a move towards 44842/45052. Bears will get active below 44423 for a move towards 44213/44003

Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 09:35,10:26, 12:35,01:52,2:42 How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times

Bank Nifty Nov Futures Open Interest Volume stood at 24.9 lakh, addition of 7 lakh contracts. Additionally, the incarease in Cost of Carry implies that there was a liquidation of SHORT positions today.

Bank Nifty Advance Decline Ratio at 04:08 and Bank  Nifty Rollover Cost is @43450 closed above it. 

Bank Nifty Gann Monthly Trend Change Level : 43211 — Low made on 22 Nov 43230 and we are up 1200+ points.

Bank Nifty has closed above all its MA and Nearing Gann Annual Trend Change level of 44680.




Traders who follow the musical octave trading path may find valuable insights in predicting Bank Nifty’s movements. According to this path, Bank Nifty may follow a path of 42127-43444-44634-45923 . This means that traders can take a position and potentially ride the move as Bank Nifty moves through these levels. Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that trading is inherently risky and market movements can be unpredictable. 

According to the Bank Nifty options chain, the call side has the highest open interest (OI) at the 44600 strike, followed by the 45000  strike. On the put side, the 44500 strike has the highest OI, followed by the 44300 strike.This indicates that market participants anticipate Bank Nifty to stay within the 45000-44500 range. 

The Bank Nifty options chain shows that the maximum pain point is at 44500 and the put-call ratio (PCR) is at 0.85 . Typically, when the PCR open interest ranges between 0.90 and 1.05, the market tends to remain range-bound. PCR is on extreme end suggesting we can see sharp reversal .

My advice to any new traders is to seek a mentor who will offer you trading skills that will allow you to adapt to any market. What works one month may not work the next. But with fully developed trading skills, you can make the necessary adjustments.

For Positional Traders, The Bank Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 44692. Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 44692, Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.

BANK Nifty Intraday Trading Levels

Buy Above 44525 Tgt 44620, 44729 , and 44888 ( BANK  Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell Below 44444 Tgt 44333, 44225 and 44108 ( BANK Nifty Spot Levels)

Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.

As always, it’s essential to closely monitor market movements and make informed decisions based on a well-thought-out trading plan and risk management strategy. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s crucial to be adaptable and cautious in your approach.

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