HDFC-HDFC Bank Merger: Bank Nifty Analysis and Potential Implications

By | July 12, 2023 12:38 am

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) displayed a Bearish approach in the Bank Nifty Index Futures market by Shorting 4600   contracts worth 308 crores, resulting in a increase of 5150 contracts in the Net Open Interest.

 

As Discussed in Last Analysis Bank Nifty continue to form lower lows on daily time frame and price closed below 4×3 gann angle. Tommrow we have 2 Aspect with North Node (Mercury Square North Node Mars Trine North Node) suggesting we can start seeing volatile mode, As NOrth Node/Rahu tend to create volatlity in the market.

44500 is 50% of last move from 43345/45655 so should be watched closely.

Bank Nifty has formed 3 lower low on Daily chart and price has closed below 4×3 gann angle. As Mars and Mercury Ingress got completed and its impact  will start showing its effect, we should see 500-729 points move in bank Nifty in next 3 trading session.

Bank Nifty will get impacted by HDFC HDFC BANK Demerger as discussed below

Bank Nifty Trade Plan Based  Bulls will get active above 45000  for a move towards 45184/45415/45646. Bears will get active below 44729 for a move towards 44490/44259/44028.

Traders may watch out for potential intraday reversals at 9:28,11:11,1:32,2:16,2:45 How to Find and Trade Intraday Reversal Times

Bank Nifty June  Futures Open Interest Volume stood at 26.7 lakh, liquidation  of 0.05 lakh contracts. Additionally, the increase in Cost of Carry implies that there was a closing  of LONG positions today.

Bank Nifty Advance Decline Ratio at 4:8and Bank  Nifty Rollover Cost is @44037  and Rollover is at 72.6%

Bank NIfty Support is at 20 SMA @44318

Traders who follow the musical octave trading path may find valuable insights in predicting Bank Nifty’s movements. According to this path, Bank Nifty may follow a path of 43444-44634-45923 . This means that traders can take a position and potentially ride the move as Bank Nifty moves through these levels. Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that trading is inherently risky and market movements can be unpredictable.  Price is near 44634

According to the Bank Nifty options chain, the call side has the highest open interest (OI) at the 45000 strike, followed by the 45200 strike. On the put side, the 44500 strike has the highest OI, followed by the 44200 strike. This indicates that market participants anticipate Bank Nifty to stay within the 44800-45300 range.

The Bank Nifty options chain shows that the maximum pain point is at 44900 and the put-call ratio (PCR) is at 0.93. Typically, when the PCR open interest ranges between 0.90 and 1.05, the market tends to remain range-bound. PCR is on extreme end suggesting we can see sharp reversal .

With every trade I imagine that this will be my worst trade ever. And I think about it beforehand, how much of my money I want to lose with it

For Positional Traders, The Bank Nifty Futures’ Trend Change Level is At 45063. Going Long Or Short Above Or Below This Level Can Help Them Stay On The Same Side As Institutions, With A Higher Risk-reward Ratio. Intraday Traders Can Keep An Eye On 45028, Which Acts As An Intraday Trend Change Level.

Intraday Trading Levels

Buy Above 44800 Tgt 44900, 45035 and 45200  (Nifty Spot Levels)

Sell Below 44800 Tgt 44666, 44555 and 44444 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Wishing you good health and trading success as always.As always, prioritize your health and trade with caution.

Category: Bank Nifty Bank Nifty Astrology

About Bramesh

Bramesh Bhandari has been actively trading the Indian Stock Markets since over 15+ Years. His primary strategies are his interpretations and applications of Gann And Astro Methodologies developed over the past decade.

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