FII Derivative Data Analysis for 2 August Trade in Nifty Future

By | August 1, 2012 8:00 pm


All Eyes on US Fed will he deliver another QE3 more liquidity to Financial markets or he just sit tight for situation to get worse. QE1 and QE 2 have done nothing till date What will QE3 do ? Readers views are invited.

1. FII  sold 1048  Contracts of NF ,worth 59 cores  with net OI increasing by 13556 contracts.

2. As Nifty Future was up by 16 points and OI has increased by 13556 contracts  means FII have done partial profit booking in longs still no evidence of shorts getting added at higher levels, as NF has closed above the Rollover range of 5210.

3. NS closed at 5240 which is above 5213(Support are now coming down,5219 yesterday),Bulls firmly deafened the support level firmly closing above 5213. As discussed yesterday we had a choppy session today which is quiet healthy for further upmove.

4. Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5259  which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5200-5170 .We had a rise of 206 points so today’s choppy move was a sign of consolidation and that to before an important resistance level of 5259. As advised on facebook better is to book  50% of longs.

5. Nifty August OI is at 2.22 cores with an addition of 1.5 Lakh in OI,fresh longs added by HNI and Retailer.

6. Total F&O turnover was 0.81 lakh  Cores  with total contract traded at 1.88 lakh.Today the range for NF was just 38 points as we were near such an important resistance followed by US Fed QE announcement so market participants did not have much commitment.

7.  5400 CE saw an  addition  of 3.4lakhs and total OI stands at 61 lakhs, Surprise was an 9 lakh addition in 5500 CE which suggests 2 things either market participants are hoping for a good gap up opening tomorrow or speculative activity in 5500 CE,Will know the answer tomorrow morning. 5200 CE atlast saw an liquidation of 2.3 lakhs so 5200 CE did unwound today.4900-5500 CE added 6.7 lakhs in OI

8. On Put side 5000 PE saw an addition  of 2 lakhs,immediate support of Nifty.4900-5500 PE added total of 18 lakhs in OI.5200 PE added 9 lakh in OI suggesting market participants are seeing nifty sustaining above 5200 tomorrow.So 5200 PE writers have won the game as of now.

9.FII  bought 441 cores and DII sold 492  cores in cash segment.FII has pumped in 2372 cores in 3 days of August series in cash market alone.INR closed at 55.78  Live INR rate @

10. Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5212, Trend Changer at 5198 NF (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).

Buy above 5259 Tgt 5286,5310 and 5350

Sell below 5212 Tgt 5200,5171,5154 and 5130 (Nifty Spot Levels)

Disclaimer: These are my personal views and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict Sl

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